Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is Taking on to Increasingly Defiant Tone in Response to Us President Donald Trump’s Growing Threat of Violence Against The Islamic Republic.
On Wednesday, The Cleric Urged the Iranian Government tofurther Develop Its Military Capabilities “Progress Cannot Be Stoped,” Khameini Said Aft Visiting A Defense Exhibition in Tehran, “We Cannot Be Satisfied.”
In No Unpredictable Term, He Included, “Today, Our Defensive Power is Well-Known. Our Enemies are afraid of this. ”
Trump’s and Khamenei’s Conflicting Positions have really positioned the us and Iran on a Direct Course of Collision.
And Although Iran just isn’t a serious topussion at This Year’s Munich Security Conference, Its Shadows Can Be Sea Hovering Over Several Global Hot Spots, Especialy The Ongoing Crisis Ingaza in This Regard, Iran Remains A Security Challenge Not Just for the Us Europe.
What’s Behind Khamenei’s Defiance?
“The diplomatic overtures by Trump Towards Khamenei, Coupled with Administration’s Announcement of a ‘Maximum Pressure’ Policy Toward Tehran, Has Weakened Khamenei’s position,” Damon Golriz, A Strategic Analyst on the Hague Institute for Geopolitics, Told DW.
“In Recent Weeks, Numerous Senior [Iranian] Officials Have Demonstrated Considerable Willingness for Direct Negotiations with Trump, “Hey Said, Adding That Khamenei’s Opposition to the United States Iran Nuclear Chats from his” Diminishing Domestic and Regional Authority. “
Last Year’s Fall of Bashar Assad’s Regime in Syria -A Long Time of Iran -Severely Damaged Tehran’s Regional Standing Domestical, Too, Khamenei is underneath Pressure.
“The Most Important Source of Khamenei’s Fear is Domestic Rather Than External,” Said Hossein Aghaie, A Senior Security Andgeopolitics Analyst He Believes the Worst-Case Scenario for Iran’s Supreme Leader Leader Certainly Be one during which what’s aghaie referred to as the “Silent Majority” of Pushed Away Iranian Resident Took Advantage of the “Window of Oppunity” Offered by Us Threat to Rise Up Ayatollah Weakened and Distracted by Outside Stress.
Khameini’s Anti-US Could AREFORE DETE as an Effort to Counter Domestic Threat to his setting.
Can Trump Use Military Force Against Tehran?
A Particular Point Ofcontention Below Both Nations Remains Iran’s Nuclear Capabilites “Denying Iran All Paths To a Nuclear Weapon” is a FOCAL POINT OF THE Trump Administration’s Maximum-Presure Strategy
In this Regard, However Aghaie Believes, “The Us Under The Trump Administration is Likkey to Refrain from Engaging in Large Scale Conflict.”
“However, Given Iran’s Advanced Nuclear Program Is Seen As a Global Security Threat, President Trump is Weighing Options to Prevent the Regime from Building A Nuclear Weapon, Including Preventative Airstrikes,” Hey Added.
To Prevent This, Experts Agree That Iran Should Give Diplomacy Achance “The Ball is in Iran’s Court Now,” Said Aghaie. He Believes that Reaching A nuclear Peace Bargain, as Drifted by Trump, “Is possible, but not highly probable.”
“The regime Believes that if it enters talks with the us, it would have to give massive concessions to trump on a variety of sensitive issues, included its ballistic missiles, drone programs, as well as proxy networks,” states the skilled. “Hence, Tehran is Seen as Preferring Prolonged and Inconclusive Talks.”
What’s subsequent for Iran?
Beyond Short-Term Concerns of Further Violence within the Middle East, Strategic Analysts Golriz Believes That, In The Long-Term, The Us Requires A Strategy for Engaging with Iran That Can Transform the Country into one Can Peapefully Co-Exist within the Area, and within the worldwide space.
“However, Trump’s Approach Fitters Short-Termats Withdictatorial Powers This is Evident in his Administration’s Withhuman Rights Council Said.
But for masih alinejad, a united states-based Iranian Activist, Trump’s Short-Term Approach Carries a Lot of Significance, AS, in Her View, The International Community is Refraining Sufficient to Handle Iran’s Hardline Routine.
“Nuclear negotiations will allow the Iranian regime to buy time and regroup,” She Told DW on Themunich Security Conference Sidelines The Time to Act Is Currently, She is Stressed Out.
“Iran is at its weakest Right Now,” she Argued “The Country’s Lower and Middle-Income Groups are no Longer Supporting the Islamic Regime. People are fed up. They want to lead a normal life. ”
Edited by: Maren Sass
