Three Months Ending September 30, 2024 |
Three Months Ending June 30, 2024 |
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Average Daily Oil Production(1) | (bbls /d) | 22,210 | 21,068 |
Oil Volumes Sold | (mbbls) | 1,765 | 1,870 |
Oil Revenues | (US$’000) | 139,278 | 163,960 |
Net Earnings/(Loss) | (US$’000) | (3,913) | 11,309 |
Adjusted EBITDAX(2) | (US$’000) | 70,551 | 99,594 |
Adjusted Pre-Tax Cashflow from Operations | (US$’000) | 63,810 | 87,117 |
Adjusted Cashflow from Operations(2) | (US$’000) | 50,138 | 65,686 |
Adjusted Opex(2) | (US$’000) | 53,788 | 54,171 |
Adjusted Capex(2) | (US$’000) | 35,490 | 30,641 |
Weighted common shares excellent – fundamental | (‘000 shares) | 106,982 | 105,919 |
As at September 30, 2024 |
As at June 30, 2024 |
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Cash & money equivalents and Restricted money | (US$’000) | 155,943 | 146,819 |
Debt | (US$’000) | Nil | Nil |
Adjusted Net Working Capital | (US$’000) | 166,261 | 144,244 |
Shareholder’s Equity | (US$’000) | 314,423 | 317,431 |
(1) Working curiosity share manufacturing, earlier than royalties.
(2) Non-IFRS monetary measure – see “Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Ratios” part within the MD&A.
Financial Update
The Company’s Q3 2024 monetary efficiency was characterised by ongoing sturdy manufacturing volumes, influenced by the impact of decrease oil gross sales due each to the timing of liftings and decrease prevailing oil costs, as in comparison with the earlier quarter.
Oil manufacturing was up, averaging 22.2 mbbls/d throughout Q3 2024 (Valeura’s working curiosity share, earlier than royalties), a rise of 5% from the prior quarter. Rates have been buoyed by a rise in output from the Nong Yao C improvement coming on-line close to the tip of the quarter, however have been offset by a precautionary suspension of manufacturing operations on the Company’s Wassana area all through July 2024. At the tip of Q3, with Nong Yao C totally on-line and all belongings operating easily, the common working curiosity share oil manufacturing price earlier than royalties over the months of September and October 2024 averaged 26.4 mbbls/d.
Oil gross sales / liftings totalled 1.8 million bbls throughout Q3 2024, 6% under the prior quarter. At the tip of the Q3, Valeura held crude oil stock of 1.2 million bbls, which was roughly 30% greater than the stock initially of Q3. 0.51 million bbls of this quarter-end stock have been lifted on October 1, 2024, and can be recorded as income in This autumn 2024. As a results of the higher-than-usual stock place at finish Q3, the Company expects for This autumn gross sales to exceed manufacturing.
Price realisations averaged $78.9/bbl throughout Q3 2024. equating to an approximate $0.6/bbl premium to the month-to-month common Dubai crude oil through the interval. Dubai crude is the important thing oil benchmark used for promoting crude oil within the Gulf of Thailand. All the Company’s crudes realised a premium to Dubai crude benchmark at each lifting throughout Q3. A big proportion of the Company’s gross sales occurred on the tail finish of Q3, which corresponded to a comparatively decrease commodity value atmosphere on the time, as in comparison with the common over the total interval. In addition, a widening of the Dubai crude low cost to Brent resulted in a reduction to the common month-to-month Brent value. The Company continues to anticipate full 12 months value realisations roughly on par with the Brent benchmark, in line with its steering estimates.
The ensuing oil income throughout Q3 2024 was US$139.3 million, down 17% from Q2 2024 as a consequence of each decrease volumes lifted (leading to elevated stock) and decrease oil costs. One of the Company’s crude oil liftings (0.18 million bbls) occurred simply previous to the tip of Q3, on account of the settlement delay between the lifting of crude oil (i.e. recorded as gross sales) and receipt of the proceeds, the roughly US$14 million worth of this lifting (Valeura’s working curiosity share, earlier than royalties) was obtained in October 2024 and are recorded as a receivable as at September 30, 2024. In addition, two additional cargos have been lifted and offered within the first week of This autumn 2024.
Operating bills throughout Q3 2024 have been US$47.3 million, against US$41.7 million in Q2 2024. Adjusted opex throughout Q3 was US$53.8 million, roughly on par with adjusted opex of US$54.2 within the prior quarter. When expressed on a per unit of manufacturing foundation, adjusted opex in Q3 2024 was US$26.3/bbl, roughly 7% decrease than US$28.3/bbl in Q2 2024.
Valeura generated adjusted EBITDAX of US$70.6 million in Q3 2024, roughly 29% decrease than in Q2 2024, largely on account of decrease income.
During Q3 2024, the Company paid petroleum taxes of US$30.1 million, reflecting the primary half-year instalment of petroleum revenue taxes due in respect of its Nong Yao and Manora fields. No tax was due on the Wassana area given the prevailing tax losses within the subsidiary firm that held the Wassana asset at finish of the quarter.
After accounting for the affect of ongoing capital spending and working bills (which incorporates sure one-off objects referring to underwater inspection work on the Wassana area), as at September 30, 2024, the Company had a money place of US$155.9 million, which incorporates US$22.5 million held as restricted money. Valeura stays debt free.
Valeura’s adjusted web working capital surplus elevated to US$166.3 million at September 30, 2024.
Operations Update
During Q3 2024, the Company had ongoing manufacturing operations on all of its Gulf of Thailand fields, comprised of the Jasmine, Nong Yao, Manora, and Wassana fields. One drilling rig and one workover rig have been beneath contract through the quarter, with the workover rig launched in August 2024.
Valeura’s mixture working curiosity share of manufacturing earlier than royalties averaged 22.2 mbbls/d throughout Q3 2024. Rates towards the tip of the quarter have been greater, and the Company expects to take care of manufacturing at roughly 26 mbbls/d by way of the rest of the 12 months.
Jasmine/Ban Yen
Oil manufacturing earlier than royalties from the Jasmine/Ban Yen area, in Licence B5/27 (100% operated curiosity) averaged 7.6 mbbls/d throughout Q3 2024, a rise of three% from Q2 2024. Increased manufacturing charges mirror the start-up of two horizontal infill wells which have been drilled on the Jasmine A platform in Q3 2024, and collectively delivered oil at an preliminary (three-day common) price of 1,050 bbls/d (earlier than royalties). In addition, Valeura completed work on the ultimate 4 wells of a six-well workover marketing campaign, which was in progress at first of the quarter.
As of mid-September, following completion of the 2 Jasmine A infill improvement wells, the Company’s contracted drilling rig went off contract for scheduled inspection and upkeep work in dry dock. In early This autumn 2024 the rig returned to the Jasmine area the place it’s at the moment conducting an infill drilling marketing campaign on the Jasmine D platform, which is predicted to be accomplished in mid-November 2024.
Nong Yao
At the Nong Yao area, in Licence G11/48 (90% operated working curiosity), manufacturing elevated primarily as a result of Nong Yao C improvement, which got here on-line August 15, 2024. Following full ramp-up of charges from Nong Yao C, mixture manufacturing from the licence achieved charges averaging 11.6 mbbls/d over the last seven days of the quarter (Valeura working curiosity share earlier than royalties) and has remained secure so far. This is a rise of 84% from Q2 2024.
Developing the Nong Yao C accumulation included drilling seven producer wells and one water injection nicely, all which have been accomplished throughout Q3 2024. In addition, the Company drilled a profitable appraisal nicely, and appraised further targets with an expanded scope of a few of the improvement wells, which have created a list of future infill drilling targets throughout the Nong Yao C accumulation. Overall drilling efficiency has exceeded administration’s expectations, with the Nong Yao C drilling programme being executed sooner than deliberate, and 25% under price range.
The Nong Yao area is now the Company’s largest supply of manufacturing. In addition, it additionally has the Company’s lowest per unit adjusted opex and its oil usually fetches a premium to the Brent benchmark. As a consequence, Nong Yao is the Company’s most money generative asset, a attribute which can be considerably elevated going ahead on account of the company restructuring introduced on November 5, 2024.
Wassana
Oil manufacturing on the Wassana area, in Licence G10/48 (100% operated curiosity), averaged 2.7 mbbls/d (earlier than royalties), a lower of 42% from Q2 2024 as a result of affect of a suspension of manufacturing operations lasting all through the month of July 2024, whereas the Company performed underwater inspection work. Subsequent to the inspection, which affirmed the structural integrity of the power, manufacturing on the Wassana area resumed on August 5, 2024, and manufacturing charges elevated to pre-suspension ranges within the days thereafter.
During Q3, 2024, Valeura progressed entrance finish engineering and design work for the potential redevelopment of the Wassana area. The Company is focusing on to be prepared for a ultimate funding resolution on the venture in late Q1 2025, with an final purpose of extra totally commercialising the Wassana area’s reserves and sources and lengthening the financial lifetime of the sector nicely past 2030.
Manora
At the Manora area, in Licence G1/48 (70% operated working curiosity), Valeura’s working curiosity share of oil manufacturing earlier than royalties averaged 2.5 mbbls/d, a lower of seven% from Q2 2024. No wells have been drilled or labored over throughout Q3 2024.
Valeura intends to begin a drilling marketing campaign on the Manora asset shortly, comprised of three infill improvement wells plus two appraisal wells.
Türkiye: West Thrace Deep Gas Play
The Company had no energetic operations in Türkiye throughout Q3 2024 because it continued its seek for a farm-in companion to pursue the following part of labor on the deep fuel play, the place it holds pursuits starting from 63% to 100%. The third extension interval of the Banarli and West Thrace Exploration Licences, extending the time period of such licences till June 27, 2025, has been efficiently accomplished and formally gazetted. The Company intends to use for additional extensions sooner or later.
Guidance Update
On August 8, 2024, the Company introduced up to date steering estimates for the total 12 months 2024, together with a narrowed manufacturing steering vary and lowered capex estimate. All different steering estimates have been unchanged.
Category |
Original 2024 Guidance |
Updated 2024 Guidance |
Nine months ended September 30, 2024 |
|
Average Daily Oil Production(1) | (bbls/d) | 21,500 – 24,500 | 22,000 – 24,000 | 21,722 |
Price realisations | (US$/bbl) | Approx. equal to the Brent crude benchmark | Approx. equal to the Brent crude benchmark | US$1.0/bbl premium to Brent |
Adjusted opex(2) | (US$ million) | 205 – 235 | 205 – 235 | 160 |
Adjusted capex(3) | (US$ million) | 135 – 155 | 135 – 145 | 95 |
Exploration expense | (US$ million) | Approx. 8 | Approx. 8 | 7 |
(1) Working curiosity share manufacturing, earlier than royalties.
(2) Represents adjusted opex which is a non-IFRS monetary measure – see “Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Ratios” within the MD&A.
(3) Represents adjusted capex which is a non-IFRS monetary measure – see “Non-IFRS Financial Measures and Ratios” within the MD&A.
While oil manufacturing efficiency for the 9 months ended September 30, 2024 averaged under the up to date steering vary, more moderen charges have been greater, averaging 26.4 mbbls/d by way of September and October 2024, and helps a forecast full 12 months manufacturing consequence on the mid level of the steering vary. The Company continues to count on all different metrics to be throughout the forecast steering estimates, with capex doubtlessly on the decrease finish of the vary.
The Company intends to announce steering estimates for the total 12 months 2025 at roughly finish of 2024.
Corporate Restructuring
Effective November 1, 2024, Valeura accomplished an inside restructuring such that its working pursuits within the Nong Yao, Manora, and Wassana fields at the moment are held by a single wholly-owned subsidiary. As a consequence, Valeura will instantly pool all future prices and historic petroleum revenue tax loss carry-forwards related to these belongings. Notably, this contains estimated out there cumulative tax loss carry-forwards of US$397 million, at September 30, 2024(1). With a petroleum tax price of fifty%, Valeura expects to grasp worth on account of speedy and near-term extra money move from this restructuring.
Valeura has beforehand indicated that the tax obligations referring to the earlier subsidiary firms’ association are required to be assessed instantly and settled throughout the subsequent 30 days. The Company can now say that the evaluation and settlement will solely happen in March 2025. Taxation preparations for the Jasmine area, which is ruled by a special classic of fiscal phrases (referred to as Thai I), and held in a separate subsidiary entity, will proceed unchanged.
(1) Unaudited inside administration estimate as at September 30, 2024, primarily based on Thai baht trade price as of November 1, 2024, topic to overview by tax advisors and auditors.
Share Buyback Programme
Given the Company’s sturdy money place and outlook for enhanced near-term money move, Valeura believes it has the monetary capability to assist each inorganic progress alternatives in addition to shareholder returns. Valeura’s administration believes shareholder returns within the near-term are greatest achieved by way of share buybacks.
The Company obtained approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) to undertake a share buyback programme by way of the TSX’s established regime for regular course issuer bids (“NCIB”). This programme has been authorized for a one-year interval commencing on November 14, 2024 and ending on November 13, 2025, or such earlier date because the Company might decide, or upon completion of purchases pursuant to the NCIB.
The Company will make use of an automated share buy plan with a delegated dealer, enabling the share buyback programme to proceed throughout relevant regulatory restrictions or inside buying and selling black-out intervals. Notwithstanding, Valeura intends to utilise the NCIB judiciously, executing buybacks on an opportunistic foundation, reflecting administration’s perception that the prevailing market value of the shares might not, every so often, mirror the Company’s intrinsic worth and future prospects.
Webinar
Valeura’s administration group will host an investor and analyst webinar on Thursday November 14, 2024 at 08:00 Calgary / 15:00 London / 22:00 Bangkok / 23:00 Singapore to debate at present’s announcement. Please register upfront by way of the hyperlink under.
Registration hyperlink: @a196a1a0-4579-4a0c-b3a3-855f4db8f64b
As an alternate, an audio solely feed of the occasion is out there by cellphone utilizing the Conference ID and dial-in numbers under.
Thailand: +66 2 026 9035,,428302927#
Singapore: +65 6450 6302,,428302927#
Canada: (833) 845-9589,,428302927#
Türkiye: 0800 142 034779,,428302927#
United States: (833) 846-5630,,428302927#
United Kingdom: 0800 640 3933,,428302927#
Phone convention ID: 428 302 927#
For additional data, please contact:
Valeura Energy Inc. (General Corporate Enquiries) +65 6373 6940
Sean Guest, President and CEO
Yacine Ben-Meriem, CFO
…
Valeura Energy Inc. (Investor and Media Enquiries) +1 403 975 6752 / +44 7392 940495
Robin James Martin, Vice President, Communications and Investor Relations
…
Contact particulars for the Company’s advisors, protecting analysis analysts and joint brokers, together with Auctus Advisors LLP, Canaccord Genuity Ltd (UK), Cormark Securities Inc., Research Capital Corporation, and Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited, are listed on the Company’s web site at .
About the Company
Valeura Energy Inc. is a Canadian public firm engaged within the exploration, improvement and manufacturing of petroleum and pure fuel in Thailand and in Türkiye. The Company is pursuing a growth-oriented technique and intends to re-invest into its producing asset portfolio and to deploy sources towards additional natural and inorganic progress in Southeast Asia. Valeura aspires towards worth accretive progress for stakeholders whereas adhering to excessive requirements of environmental, social and governance accountability.
Additional data referring to Valeura can be out there on SEDAR+ at .
Advisory and Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Information
Certain data included on this information launch constitutes forward-looking data beneath relevant securities laws. Such forward-looking data is for the aim of explaining administration’s present expectations and plans referring to the longer term. Readers are cautioned that reliance on such data is probably not applicable for different functions, equivalent to making funding selections. Forward-looking data usually comprises statements with phrases equivalent to “anticipate”, “consider”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “intend”, “estimate”, “suggest”, “venture”, “goal” or related phrases suggesting future outcomes or statements relating to an outlook. Forward-looking data on this information launch contains, however isn’t restricted to, anticipated higher-than regular gross sales in This autumn 2024; the Company’s expectations that it’ll obtain all its steering estimates for 2024 whereas on the identical time having diminished its capex; the consolidation of the Thai III belongings right into a singly subsidiary growing the Company’s money move era; the Company’s potential to use its substantial tax loss carry-forwards to the mixed revenue of its fields and the ensuing affect on money flows; the mixed results of upper manufacturing and greater than typical oil in stock on the finish of Q3 making a uniquely sturdy monetary efficiency in This autumn; Valeura being nicely positioned to proceed pursuing worth by way of progress, whereas offering returns to shareholders; the timing of the graduation of the NCIB; the recording of income derived from the 0.51 million bbls lifted on October 1, 2024 in This autumn 2024; the Company’s anticipation that the total 12 months value realizations can be roughly on par with the Brent benchmark; Valeura’s intention to right away pool all future prices and historic petroleum revenue tax loss carry-forwards related to the Nong Yao, Manora and Wassana fields; Valeura’s expectations relating to acquiring a big worth from its company restructuring; the Company’s expectations that the evaluation and settlement of tax obligations associated to the earlier subsidiary will happen in March 2025; the Company’s expectation that it’ll preserve manufacturing at present ranges all through the rest of the 12 months; the Company’s anticipated timing for the completion of the infill drilling marketing campaign on the Jasmine/Ban Yen fields; the Company’s anticipated timing for a ultimate funding resolution on the Wassana area; Valeura’s intention to begin a drilling marketing campaign on the Manora area in This autumn 2024, and the composition of such drilling marketing campaign; the Company’s intention to use for subsequent extensions of the Banarli and West Thrace Exploration licences; the Company’s expectations that each one metrics can be throughout the Company’s forecasted steering for 2024; the Company’s anticipated timing for the announcement of its steering estimates for 2025; the Company’s plan to enter into an automated share buy plan; and the Company’s expectation to execute buybacks on an opportunistic foundation. Although the Company believes the expectations and assumptions mirrored in such forward-looking data are affordable, they could show to be incorrect.
Forward-looking data relies on administration’s present expectations and assumptions relating to, amongst different issues: political stability of the areas during which the Company is working; continued security of operations and skill to proceed in a well timed method; continued operations of and approvals forthcoming from governments and regulators in a fashion per previous conduct; future drilling exercise on the required/anticipated timelines; the prospectivity of the Company’s lands; the continued beneficial pricing and working netbacks throughout its enterprise; future manufacturing charges and related working netbacks and money move; decline charges; future sources of funding; future financial circumstances; the affect of inflation of future prices; future forex trade charges; rates of interest; the flexibility to satisfy drilling deadlines and fulfil commitments beneath licences and leases; future commodity costs; the affect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine; royalty charges and taxes; administration’s estimate of cumulative tax losses being right; future capital and different expenditures; the success obtained in drilling new wells and dealing over current wellbores; the efficiency of wells and amenities; the provision of the required capital to funds its exploration, improvement and different operations, and the flexibility of the Company to satisfy its commitments and monetary obligations; the flexibility of the Company to safe satisfactory processing, transportation, fractionation and storage capability on acceptable phrases; the capability and reliability of amenities; the appliance of regulatory necessities respecting abandonment and reclamation; the recoverability of the Company’s reserves and contingent sources; future progress; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in finishing up deliberate actions; the affect of accelerating competitors; the flexibility to effectively combine belongings and workers acquired by way of acquisitions; world power insurance policies going ahead; future debt ranges; and the Company’s continued potential to acquire and retain certified workers and gear in a well timed and price environment friendly method. In addition, the Company’s work programmes and budgets are partially primarily based upon anticipated settlement amongst three way partnership companions and related exploration, improvement and advertising and marketing plans and anticipated prices and gross sales costs, that are topic to alter primarily based on, amongst different issues, the precise outcomes of drilling and associated exercise, availability of drilling, offshore storage and offloading amenities and different specialised oilfield gear and repair suppliers, modifications in companions’ plans and surprising delays and modifications in market circumstances. Although the Company believes the expectations and assumptions mirrored in such forward-looking data are affordable, they could show to be incorrect.
Forward-looking data entails important recognized and unknown dangers and uncertainties. Exploration, appraisal, and improvement of oil and pure fuel reserves and sources are speculative actions and contain a level of danger. Numerous elements may trigger precise outcomes to vary materially from these anticipated by the Company together with, however not restricted to: the flexibility of administration to execute its marketing strategy or realise anticipated advantages from acquisitions; the danger of disruptions from public well being emergencies and/or pandemics; competitors for specialised gear and human sources; the Company’s potential to handle progress; the Company’s potential to handle the prices associated to inflation; disruption in provide chains; the danger of forex fluctuations; modifications in rates of interest, oil and fuel costs and netbacks; the danger that the Company’s tax advisors’ and/or auditors’ evaluation of the Company’s cumulative tax losses varies considerably from administration’s expectations of the identical; potential modifications in three way partnership companion methods and participation in work programmes; uncertainty relating to the contemplated timelines and prices for work programme execution; the dangers of disruption to operations and entry to worksites; potential modifications in legal guidelines and rules, the uncertainty relating to authorities and different approvals; counterparty danger; the danger that financing is probably not out there; dangers related to climate delays and pure disasters; and the danger related to worldwide exercise. See the latest annual data kind and administration’s dialogue and evaluation of the Company for an in depth dialogue of the danger elements.
The forward-looking data contained on this new launch is made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to replace publicly or revise any forward-looking data, whether or not on account of new data, future occasions or in any other case, except required by relevant securities legal guidelines. The forward-looking data contained on this new launch is expressly certified by this cautionary assertion.
This information launch doesn’t represent a proposal to promote or the solicitation of a proposal to purchase securities in any jurisdiction, together with the place such supply could be illegal. This information launch isn’t for distribution or launch, straight or not directly, in or into the United States, Ireland, the Republic of South Africa or Japan or another jurisdiction during which its publication or distribution could be illegal.
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